Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.8% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 65.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 56.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.8%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McLeod
Kuraly
Last 6: McLeod 3-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
3
0
McLeod
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
McLeod
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
McLeod
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (796)
51.8% (444)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (263)
45.3% (150)
-2.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (748).
McLeod shoots left. Kuraly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (368).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
49.2% (575)
54.6% (304)
Away
45.9% (571)
45.5% (290)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
52.8%
55.2%
P2
45.1%
45.7%
P3
45.6%
49.5%
OT
35.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |