Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 48.4% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 81.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
McLeod
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
McLeod
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Kuraly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (500)
49.2% (901)
-0.2%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
68.2% (22)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
49.8% (219)
-5.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
McLeod shoots left. Kuraly is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
50.9% (291)
51.7% (603)
Away
45.6% (307)
47.3% (539)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
44.3%
50.9%
P2
52.4%
49.5%
P3
47.8%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |