Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.6% vs 50.3%). Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.6% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 82.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 57.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 63.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
McLeod
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
McLeod
Kuraly
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
4
0
McLeod
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
6
McLeod
Kuraly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
5
McLeod
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,345)
51.5% (5,141)
-1.1%
Power Play
51.0% (292)
56.0% (100)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (635)
44.2% (1,086)
+0.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. McLeod is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
McLeod shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Home / Away
McLeod
Kuraly
Home
50.2% (2,158)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
McLeod
Kuraly
P1
50.8%
51.1%
P2
48.4%
49.9%
P3
50.0%
50.0%
OT
37.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.7%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:05 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:43 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 19:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 03:52 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:03 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 18:08 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:29 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:29 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 24, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |