Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McLeod wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.7% vs Crosby 52.3% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 70.7%
Defensive zone
McLeod 79.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 73.7%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
McLeod
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McLeod
Crosby
Last 5: McLeod 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
McLeod
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
McLeod
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
McLeod
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
50.8% (1,169)
-3.0%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
60.2% (261)
-12.1%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
45.0% (20)
-9.0%
On power play, Crosby has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McLeod is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (320).
McLeod shoots left. Crosby is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Home / Away
McLeod
Crosby
Home
46.6% (253)
53.2% (726)
Away
47.8% (272)
51.7% (724)
By Period
McLeod
Crosby
P1
43.9%
51.3%
P2
45.9%
52.1%
P3
52.1%
54.1%
OT
50.0%
45.8%
Final 5 min
49.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:31 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 1, 2021 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |