Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 50.7% vs Crosby 57.8% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 90.6%
Defensive zone
Crosby 65.6%
Neutral zone
Crosby 76.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 84.4%
15.6%
84.4%
McLeod
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McLeod
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
2
1
McLeod
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
0
McLeod
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (628)
57.8% (1,437)
-6.5%
Power Play
68.3% (41)
60.9% (381)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
30.6% (49)
50.0% (54)
-19.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
McLeod shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
McLeod
Crosby
Home
51.5% (394)
59.2% (985)
Away
50.0% (324)
57.2% (887)
By Period
McLeod
Crosby
P1
51.5%
57.3%
P2
47.0%
59.5%
P3
54.3%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |