Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 48.4% vs Novak 45.6% (+3.7%)
Offensive zone
Novak 52.3%
Defensive zone
McLeod 55.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 50.4%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
McLeod
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (500)
43.8% (384)
+5.2%
Power Play
43.8% (48)
58.8% (17)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (50)
100.0% (1)
-56.0%
On penalty kill, Novak has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
McLeod shoots left. Novak is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
McLeod
Novak
Home
50.9% (291)
46.5% (202)
Away
45.6% (307)
42.5% (200)
By Period
McLeod
Novak
P1
44.3%
49.2%
P2
52.4%
44.2%
P3
47.8%
40.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Novak
40.0%▼
42.0%
44.5%