Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 47.7% vs Bozak 46.2% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McLeod 65.9%
Defensive zone
Bozak 63.1%
Neutral zone
Bozak 62.0%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McLeod
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
McLeod
Bozak
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
McLeod
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (448)
46.7% (338)
+1.1%
Power Play
48.1% (52)
50.0% (6)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
36.0% (25)
32.6% (43)
+3.4%
On penalty kill, McLeod has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. McLeod is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (205).
McLeod shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
McLeod
Bozak
Home
46.6% (253)
47.9% (194)
Away
47.8% (272)
42.5% (193)
By Period
McLeod
Bozak
P1
43.9%
40.2%
P2
45.9%
51.4%
P3
52.1%
43.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.2%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |