Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McLeod 49.6% vs Bozak 53.4% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bozak 56.0%
Defensive zone
McLeod 62.1%
Neutral zone
McLeod 54.2%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
McLeod
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
McLeod
Bozak
Last 10: McLeod 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
2
3
McLeod
Bozak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
McLeod
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McLeod
Bozak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McLeod
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (3,345)
53.7% (9,596)
-3.3%
Power Play
51.0% (292)
55.2% (1,990)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (635)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.7%
On power play, Bozak has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. McLeod is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,490).
McLeod shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
McLeod
Bozak
Home
50.2% (2,158)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.9% (2,114)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
McLeod
Bozak
P1
50.8%
53.2%
P2
48.4%
52.8%
P3
50.0%
54.5%
OT
37.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
49.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 08:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:39 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:38 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 02:51 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Ryan McLeod |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |