Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 51.1% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.4%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 5: Pageau 1-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (896)
48.3% (633)
+3.3%
Power Play
49.2% (63)
64.6% (48)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (174)
43.0% (86)
+7.0%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pageau is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Pageau shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (264).
Home / Away
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.2% (559)
52.0% (419)
Away
51.2% (574)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Pageau
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.4%
51.5%
P2
52.4%
45.9%
P3
51.0%
48.1%
OT
33.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 22, 2018 | 3 | 13:18 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |