Macklin Celebrini vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.5%). Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Celebrini 48.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Celebrini leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Celebrini 51.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.9%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Celebrini 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
5
0
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
4
1
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (901)
50.3% (479)
-3.1%
Power Play
54.7% (139)
50.0% (28)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
30.0% (50)
+24.5%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +24.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Celebrini is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (711).
Celebrini shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.6% (553)
48.9% (270)
Away
49.0% (498)
48.1% (287)
By Period
Celebrini
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.6%
48.7%
P2
46.4%
50.0%
P3
51.8%
47.3%
OT
41.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Celebrini
48.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 13:33 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:08 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:07 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:27 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:25 | Defensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 1 | 04:22 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |