Paul Stastny vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Stastny wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 91.2%
Defensive zone
Stastny 68.5%
Neutral zone
Stastny 91.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
4
(17 meetings)
13
4
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Stastny 6-4 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
1
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
2
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
1
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,130)
48.3% (633)
+6.5%
Power Play
59.1% (235)
64.6% (48)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (150)
43.0% (86)
+6.3%
On even strength, Stastny has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Stastny shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
55.5% (803)
52.0% (419)
Away
54.2% (712)
44.8% (348)
By Period
Stastny
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
57.4%
51.5%
P2
52.5%
45.9%
P3
54.3%
48.1%
OT
69.6%
75.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 01:06 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 16:33 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 15:47 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 3 | 12:46 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 21, 2017 | 1 | 03:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 12:43 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 05:32 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:26 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |