Who wins more faceoffs, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads the head-to-head 5-3 across 8 faceoffs.

What is Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's faceoff record against Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins is 5-3 against Ryan O'Reilly in head-to-head faceoffs. Zone breakdown: Defensive 4-1, Neutral 1-2.

Who is predicted to win the next faceoff, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins or Ryan O'Reilly?

Ryan O'Reilly is the predicted winner with a 75.2% win probability based on historical stats and XGBoost ML analysis.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan O'Reilly

Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL vs Ryan O'ReillyL

2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head

2025-26 2024-25 2023-24 2022-23 2021-22 All Seasons

Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown

Model XGBoost ML Model

Overall FO% (Bayesian) Nugent-Hopkins 48.9% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-11.2%)

H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)

Offensive zone O'Reilly 82.2%

Defensive zone O'Reilly 75.2%

Neutral zone O'Reilly 75.3%

Result Ryan O'Reilly favored at 75.2%

24.8%

75.2%

Nugent-Hopkins O'Reilly

Head-to-Head Record

5 - 3 (8 meetings)

Nugent-Hopkins O'Reilly

Last 8: Nugent-Hopkins 5-3 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone

Edge: Nugent-Hopkins

Nugent-Hopkins O'Reilly

5 total

Neutral Zone

Edge: O'Reilly

Nugent-Hopkins O'Reilly

3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation

Nugent-Hopkins

O'Reilly

Edge

Even Strength

48.3% (633)

60.3% (1,517)

-12.0%

Power Play

64.6% (48)

61.5% (387)

+3.1%

Penalty Kill

43.0% (86)

55.0% (220)

-12.0%

On even strength, O'Reilly has a +12.0% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness

O'Reilly shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).

Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).

Home / Away

Nugent-Hopkins

O'Reilly

Home

52.0% (419)

62.5% (1,143)

Away

44.8% (348)

57.1% (981)

By Period

Nugent-Hopkins

O'Reilly

51.5%

56.8%

45.9%

64.6%

48.1%

58.5%

75.0%

66.7%

Final 5 min

46.2%

59.5%

Recent Form

Player

Last 50

Last 200

Career

Nugent-Hopkins

58.0%▲

50.0%

48.8%

O'Reilly

54.0%▼

55.5%

60.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date	Period	Time	Zone	Winner
Nov 24, 2017	3	00:00	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 24, 2017	2	19:54	Defensive	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 24, 2017	2	00:00	Neutral	Ryan O'Reilly
Nov 24, 2017	1	18:46	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Nov 24, 2017	1	09:22	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Nov 24, 2017	1	01:39	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Nov 24, 2017	1	01:36	Defensive	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Nov 24, 2017	1	00:00	Neutral	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Nugent-Hopkins's Profile | O'Reilly's Profile