Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 65.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
0
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
56.2% (983)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
55.5% (254)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
52.0% (102)
-22.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Home
48.9% (270)
56.2% (697)
Away
48.1% (287)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
P1
48.7%
54.5%
P2
50.0%
55.5%
P3
47.3%
57.1%
OT
36.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:07 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |