Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan O'Reilly
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 80.8%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.4%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 3-7 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
2
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
4
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (408)
55.0% (1,084)
-4.0%
Power Play
0.0% (6)
56.8% (303)
-56.8%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (78)
40.3% (149)
-4.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +56.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Home
50.8% (258)
54.8% (759)
Away
44.9% (234)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
P1
51.6%
55.3%
P2
45.2%
51.9%
P3
47.6%
54.2%
OT
40.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 11:05 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 2 | 00:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |