Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Ryan O'Reilly
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 50.6% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 2-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (351)
57.3% (1,073)
-5.2%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
58.5% (258)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (39)
50.7% (225)
-14.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
Home
50.0% (198)
59.2% (765)
Away
51.5% (206)
54.0% (791)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
O'Reilly
P1
52.1%
55.6%
P2
48.8%
61.0%
P3
50.4%
52.3%
OT
75.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
44.6%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
50.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2019 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 3 | 02:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 3 | 02:17 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 6, 2019 | 1 | 16:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |