Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Nugent-Hopkins wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% vs Steel 50.4% (-4.0%)
Offensive zone
Steel 51.5%
Defensive zone
Steel 54.3%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.5%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (189)
51.3% (195)
-3.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
71.4% (7)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
43.2% (37)
-13.8%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Steel is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (143).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Home
48.5% (132)
50.0% (100)
Away
43.4% (76)
51.1% (139)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
P1
51.4%
49.4%
P2
41.3%
48.1%
P3
48.5%
55.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Steel
46.0%▼
48.5%
50.6%