Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Steel 52.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 50.2%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.6%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
56.9% (320)
-6.6%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
71.4% (7)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
37.0% (73)
-7.0%
On power play, Steel has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Steel is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Home
48.9% (270)
55.9% (202)
Away
48.1% (287)
51.0% (198)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
P1
48.7%
55.5%
P2
50.0%
55.1%
P3
47.3%
50.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
60.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 3 | 00:04 | Neutral | Sam Steel |