Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Steel 50.6% (-2.7%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.6%
Defensive zone
Steel 58.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 50.1%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
52.5% (200)
-4.9%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
71.4% (7)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
40.0% (45)
-6.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Steel is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (148).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
Home
51.2% (164)
49.5% (109)
Away
43.0% (100)
51.7% (143)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Steel
P1
50.0%
49.5%
P2
46.2%
47.5%
P3
49.5%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.8%