Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Shane Wright
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Wright 45.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.2%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 72.1%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 80.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 7-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
43.9% (758)
+6.4%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
50.7% (67)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
40.0% (5)
-10.0%
On penalty kill, Wright has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (173).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Home
48.9% (270)
46.3% (406)
Away
48.1% (287)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
P1
48.7%
46.8%
P2
50.0%
42.6%
P3
47.3%
44.4%
OT
36.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Shane Wright |