Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Shane Wright
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Wright 43.3% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Wright 50.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.8%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
5
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
5
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
42.6% (1,318)
+2.3%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
45.8% (131)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
33.3% (6)
+4.6%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,645).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wright is 42.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
Home
46.5% (5,350)
44.2% (746)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
41.5% (709)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Wright
P1
45.1%
44.4%
P2
43.9%
40.7%
P3
45.3%
44.0%
OT
43.5%
20.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:26 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 14:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:16 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:52 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:42 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Shane Wright |