Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sidney Crosby
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Crosby 55.5% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 68.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 74.3%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 69.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 68.6%
68.6%
31.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
53.7% (984)
-6.1%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
64.7% (241)
+18.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
64.3% (14)
-31.0%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Crosby is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (879).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Home
51.2% (164)
56.9% (649)
Away
43.0% (100)
54.9% (590)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
P1
50.0%
55.8%
P2
46.2%
53.2%
P3
49.5%
58.7%
OT
0.0%
54.2%
Final 5 min
44.8%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |