Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sidney Crosby
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 27 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Crosby 53.5% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 37-35 in 72 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 61.9%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 61.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 51.7%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
35
-
37
(72 meetings)
35
37
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 6-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
11
16
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
11
9
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
13
12
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
25 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
52.8% (17,990)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
57.4% (4,733)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
47.1% (765)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Crosby is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (14,851).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Home
46.5% (5,350)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
P1
45.1%
53.6%
P2
43.9%
53.9%
P3
45.3%
53.3%
OT
43.5%
49.6%
Final 5 min
43.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 05:19 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:59 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 12:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 18:56 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 23, 2023 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Oct 24, 2022 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 26, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |