Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Sidney Crosby
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% vs Crosby 56.6% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 89.4%
Defensive zone
Crosby 55.1%
Neutral zone
Crosby 62.9%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
0
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (479)
56.2% (1,451)
-5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (28)
61.4% (293)
-11.4%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (50)
55.3% (38)
-25.3%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
Home
48.9% (270)
59.1% (939)
Away
48.1% (287)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Crosby
P1
48.7%
54.9%
P2
50.0%
60.8%
P3
47.3%
55.4%
OT
36.4%
53.6%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
48.5%
Crosby
36.0%▼
52.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:43 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |