Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Nosek
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +17.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% vs Nosek 56.9% (-17.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nosek 55.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 71.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 60.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Last 6: Nugent-Hopkins 2-4 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
1
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (690)
63.4% (112)
-16.9%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
50.0% (6)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
38.4% (138)
57.1% (14)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nosek is 61.4% vs left-shot opponents (101).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Home
47.7% (405)
56.7% (67)
Away
42.8% (435)
67.7% (65)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
P1
49.4%
57.5%
P2
43.0%
65.5%
P3
43.7%
61.8%
Final 5 min
43.9%
71.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
45.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
62.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |