Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Nosek
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% vs Nosek 46.9% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.3%
Defensive zone
Nosek 57.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.6%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (231)
48.5% (66)
-0.9%
Power Play
83.3% (12)
100.0% (1)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (21)
29.6% (27)
+3.7%
On power play, Nosek has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nosek is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Home
51.2% (164)
44.0% (25)
Away
43.0% (100)
43.5% (69)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
P1
50.0%
46.4%
P2
46.2%
34.2%
P3
49.5%
53.6%
Final 5 min
44.8%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
43.6%