Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% vs Nosek 53.6% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.6%
Defensive zone
Nosek 62.9%
Neutral zone
Nosek 52.0%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,756)
54.9% (2,674)
-10.0%
Power Play
50.7% (839)
44.7% (47)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (879)
47.4% (424)
-9.5%
On even strength, Nosek has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Home
46.5% (5,350)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
42.9% (5,136)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
P1
45.1%
52.3%
P2
43.9%
54.0%
P3
45.3%
54.6%
OT
43.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |