Ryan Nugent-Hopkins vs Tomas Nosek
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Tomas Nosek holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Nugent-Hopkins wins 44.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% vs Nosek 53.9% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 62.9%
Defensive zone
Nosek 61.8%
Neutral zone
Nosek 50.6%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Last 10: Nugent-Hopkins 5-5 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
4
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
2
3
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
2
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (8,714)
55.0% (2,608)
-10.1%
Power Play
50.3% (829)
43.5% (46)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (875)
48.6% (397)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Nosek has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,805).
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Nosek is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,880).
Home / Away
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
Home
46.4% (5,318)
52.9% (1,606)
Away
42.9% (5,112)
55.3% (1,445)
By Period
Nugent-Hopkins
Nosek
P1
45.1%
52.5%
P2
43.8%
54.7%
P3
45.2%
54.6%
OT
43.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.7%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.7%
Nosek
56.0%▬
55.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 07:21 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 03:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 09:57 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 16:57 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 00:45 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 1, 2018 | 3 | 08:10 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |