Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kampf 50.8% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 61.0%
Defensive zone
Kampf 94.3%
Neutral zone
Kampf 69.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Kampf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Kampf
O'Reilly
Last 9: Kampf 1-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
6
Kampf
O'Reilly
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Kampf
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kampf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (610)
55.0% (1,084)
-1.2%
Power Play
53.8% (13)
56.8% (303)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (299)
40.3% (149)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Kampf has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kampf is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (657).
Kampf shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Kampf
O'Reilly
Home
47.5% (400)
54.8% (759)
Away
53.4% (522)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Kampf
O'Reilly
P1
57.3%
55.3%
P2
47.4%
51.9%
P3
49.3%
54.2%
OT
29.4%
64.7%
Final 5 min
48.9%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kampf
50.0%▼
52.5%
50.9%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 17:28 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Kampf |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 07:20 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 2 | 14:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 17:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |