Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brassard on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Brassard wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 47.0% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Brassard leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 91.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 85.5%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Brassard
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Brassard
O'Reilly
Last 10: Brassard 8-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brassard
6
1
Brassard
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Brassard
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brassard
2
0
Brassard
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (739)
53.4% (770)
-8.2%
Power Play
54.6% (130)
55.6% (54)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
44.4% (196)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Brassard is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Brassard shoots left. O'Reilly is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Brassard
O'Reilly
Home
47.9% (447)
53.5% (533)
Away
45.4% (441)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Brassard
O'Reilly
P1
48.7%
50.8%
P2
44.3%
52.4%
P3
47.2%
51.6%
OT
36.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
46.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2011 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 16:25 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Nov 12, 2010 | 1 | 01:14 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2010 | 1 | 11:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |