Dominic Toninato vs Ryan O'Reilly
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +18.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Toninato wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toninato 44.5% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-18.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toninato 78.7%
Defensive zone
Toninato 75.8%
Neutral zone
Toninato 77.9%
Result
Dominic Toninato favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Toninato
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Toninato
O'Reilly
Last 5: Toninato 1-4 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Toninato
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toninato
1
0
Toninato
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Toninato
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toninato
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (182)
60.3% (1,517)
-16.3%
Power Play
25.0% (4)
61.5% (387)
-36.5%
Penalty Kill
15.4% (13)
55.0% (220)
-39.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +39.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Toninato is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Toninato shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Toninato
O'Reilly
Home
47.3% (91)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
37.0% (108)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Toninato
O'Reilly
P1
38.0%
56.8%
P2
37.3%
64.6%
P3
49.3%
58.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toninato
46.0%▼
47.5%
41.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 13:04 | Defensive | Dominic Toninato |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 11, 2018 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |