Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (94% H2H, 16 meetings). Gambrell wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 44.6% vs O'Reilly 58.1% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 22-10 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Gambrell 89.2%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 86.5%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 94.2%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 89.5%
89.5%
10.5%
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
22
(32 meetings)
10
22
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Last 10: Gambrell 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
15
Gambrell
O'Reilly
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
6
3
Gambrell
O'Reilly
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
4
Gambrell
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (500)
58.6% (841)
-14.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
59.9% (207)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
41.1% (129)
58.1% (148)
-17.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Gambrell is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Gambrell shoots right. O'Reilly is 64.4% vs right-shot opponents (331).
Home / Away
Gambrell
O'Reilly
Home
41.6% (363)
59.8% (594)
Away
46.7% (274)
57.8% (602)
By Period
Gambrell
O'Reilly
P1
42.2%
61.7%
P2
46.2%
56.2%
P3
43.8%
59.5%
OT
14.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.9%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 17:04 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 3 | 10:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2021 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 14:34 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 14:42 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Dylan Gambrell |