Elias Pettersson vs Ryan O'Reilly
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.7% vs O'Reilly 55.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 83.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 79.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 78.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Last 5: Pettersson 0-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Pettersson
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Pettersson
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (790)
56.2% (983)
-9.9%
Power Play
53.1% (147)
55.5% (254)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
52.0% (102)
-0.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Pettersson is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Pettersson shoots left. O'Reilly is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (848).
Home / Away
Pettersson
O'Reilly
Home
48.1% (489)
56.2% (697)
Away
46.9% (475)
55.1% (642)
By Period
Pettersson
O'Reilly
P1
47.4%
54.5%
P2
48.3%
55.5%
P3
46.6%
57.1%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▲
41.5%
47.5%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 29, 2025 | 1 | 08:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 11:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 17, 2024 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |