Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 46.1% vs O'Reilly 53.2% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 81.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 68.3%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 87.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 82.5%
17.5%
82.5%
Haula
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Haula
O'Reilly
Last 5: Haula 4-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (504)
52.7% (900)
-6.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
55.6% (225)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (64)
54.5% (209)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Haula is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (348).
Haula shoots left. O'Reilly is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Home / Away
Haula
O'Reilly
Home
50.7% (300)
55.1% (693)
Away
39.6% (273)
51.6% (641)
By Period
Haula
O'Reilly
P1
47.0%
51.5%
P2
41.3%
54.7%
P3
48.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
48.2%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
45.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2015 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 04:34 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:31 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | Erik Haula |