Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.6% vs O'Reilly 54.8% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 57.9%
Defensive zone
Drury 83.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 69.4%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Drury
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Drury
O'Reilly
Last 6: Drury 4-2 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Drury
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
O'Reilly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Drury
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (659)
55.3% (815)
+5.5%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
58.0% (219)
-18.0%
Penalty Kill
49.7% (155)
49.2% (124)
+0.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +18.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Drury is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Drury shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Drury
O'Reilly
Home
59.2% (407)
55.8% (579)
Away
57.8% (417)
54.6% (579)
By Period
Drury
O'Reilly
P1
59.1%
57.5%
P2
57.6%
54.7%
P3
58.8%
54.1%
OT
60.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
50.7%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
62.0%▲
55.5%
58.5%
O'Reilly
48.0%▼
54.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:12 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 11:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 03:22 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 11:20 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | Jack Drury |