Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.9% vs O'Reilly 56.2% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.1%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 82.2%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 78.4%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
McCann
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McCann
O'Reilly
Last 8: McCann 5-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
4
3
McCann
O'Reilly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (477)
57.3% (1,073)
-10.8%
Power Play
46.3% (41)
58.5% (258)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (52)
50.7% (225)
-4.5%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. McCann is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (379).
McCann shoots left. O'Reilly is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (962).
Home / Away
McCann
O'Reilly
Home
46.3% (296)
59.2% (765)
Away
46.5% (275)
54.0% (791)
By Period
McCann
O'Reilly
P1
49.4%
55.6%
P2
44.5%
61.0%
P3
46.0%
52.3%
OT
42.9%
61.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
58.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.4%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2019 | 3 | 18:20 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 12:21 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 07:36 | Defensive | Jared McCann |