Jeff Carter vs Ryan O'Reilly

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 26 meetings). Carter wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Carter 53.2% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor O'Reilly leads 68-39 in 107 meetings
Offensive zone Carter 67.2%
Defensive zone Carter 67.2%
Neutral zone Carter 66.0%
Result Jeff Carter favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Carter O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
39 - 68 (107 meetings)
39
68
Carter O'Reilly
Last 10: Carter 5-5 O'Reilly

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
15
24
Carter O'Reilly
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
18
24
Carter O'Reilly
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
20
Carter O'Reilly
26 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Carter
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (8,728)
56.2% (15,103)
-2.9%
Power Play
57.3% (1,554)
58.7% (3,395)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,087)
51.6% (2,769)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.3% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Carter shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,572).
Home / Away
Carter
O'Reilly
Home
54.7% (5,752)
57.6% (10,669)
Away
51.6% (5,632)
54.4% (10,631)
By Period
Carter
O'Reilly
P1
53.6%
55.5%
P2
52.8%
57.0%
P3
53.1%
55.2%
OT
56.5%
62.7%
Final 5 min
53.2%
55.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Carter
62.0%
61.5%
53.2%
O'Reilly
56.0%
54.5%
56.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 15, 2024 3 15:02 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Apr 15, 2024 3 07:09 Defensive Jeff Carter
Apr 15, 2024 2 16:44 Defensive Jeff Carter
Apr 15, 2024 2 10:34 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Apr 15, 2024 2 04:18 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Apr 15, 2024 1 12:51 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 3, 2022 3 14:39 Defensive Jeff Carter
Dec 3, 2022 1 19:32 Neutral Ryan O'Reilly
Dec 3, 2022 1 09:24 Defensive Jeff Carter
Mar 17, 2022 OT 02:41 Defensive Jeff Carter
Mar 17, 2022 3 08:11 Defensive Jeff Carter
Mar 17, 2022 2 17:54 Defensive Jeff Carter
Mar 17, 2022 2 01:30 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Mar 17, 2022 1 00:09 Defensive Jeff Carter
Mar 17, 2021 2 07:39 Offensive Jeff Carter
Mar 5, 2021 1 13:45 Offensive Jeff Carter
Feb 24, 2021 1 02:51 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 23, 2021 3 11:55 Offensive Ryan O'Reilly
Jan 23, 2021 1 11:58 Defensive Jeff Carter
Dec 23, 2019 2 13:16 Defensive Ryan O'Reilly