Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 53.9%). Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Beecher wins 60.1% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beecher 53.8% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 87.1%
Defensive zone
Beecher 85.3%
Neutral zone
Beecher 51.3%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Beecher
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Beecher
O'Reilly
Last 5: Beecher 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
3
Beecher
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
2
0
Beecher
O'Reilly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beecher
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
56.2% (388)
55.0% (1,084)
+1.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.8% (303)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (110)
40.3% (149)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Beecher has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Beecher is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Beecher shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Beecher
O'Reilly
Home
51.5% (196)
54.8% (759)
Away
56.6% (304)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Beecher
O'Reilly
P1
58.6%
55.3%
P2
49.0%
51.9%
P3
55.9%
54.2%
OT
33.3%
64.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beecher
46.0%▬
45.5%
54.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 1 | 10:36 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |