Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 82.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 63.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 74.1%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 74.9%
25.1%
74.9%
Kunin
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
9
(20 meetings)
11
9
Kunin
O'Reilly
Last 10: Kunin 7-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
8
Kunin
O'Reilly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kunin
7
0
Kunin
O'Reilly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
2
1
Kunin
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
56.2% (15,260)
-9.1%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
58.8% (3,445)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
51.4% (2,811)
-11.2%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. O'Reilly is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (7,689).
Home / Away
Kunin
O'Reilly
Home
45.5% (1,048)
57.6% (10,762)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
54.4% (10,787)
By Period
Kunin
O'Reilly
P1
47.9%
55.6%
P2
45.7%
57.0%
P3
43.9%
55.1%
OT
50.0%
62.2%
Final 5 min
42.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:22 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:09 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:38 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:37 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 3 | 01:45 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 06:05 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 30, 2019 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |