Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Getzlaf wins 44.3% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 46.1% vs O'Reilly 51.6% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 50.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 88.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.7%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 81.0%
19.0%
81.0%
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Last 5: Getzlaf 4-1 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
0
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
1
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (900)
53.4% (770)
-7.7%
Power Play
49.7% (197)
55.6% (54)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
38.8% (49)
44.4% (196)
-5.6%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Getzlaf is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (943).
Getzlaf shoots right. O'Reilly is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Home
48.0% (548)
53.5% (533)
Away
43.9% (635)
50.0% (492)
By Period
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
P1
43.3%
50.8%
P2
51.1%
52.4%
P3
42.0%
51.6%
OT
58.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
45.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2011 | 3 | 10:09 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 07:56 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 07:46 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 11, 2011 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |