Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Getzlaf wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 49.1% vs O'Reilly 51.4% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.3%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 57.7%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.8%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Last 5: Getzlaf 5-0 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
2
0
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
3
0
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (1,086)
51.5% (194)
-2.0%
Power Play
57.0% (93)
52.3% (107)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (232)
51.4% (70)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Getzlaf is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Getzlaf shoots right. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Home
53.0% (664)
50.3% (185)
Away
45.5% (747)
53.2% (186)
By Period
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
P1
48.4%
51.0%
P2
51.7%
48.9%
P3
46.1%
53.3%
OT
60.6%
68.8%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 16:02 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Mar 14, 2014 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |