Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Getzlaf wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Getzlaf 48.1% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-12.2%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 80.4%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 85.3%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 78.4%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 81.5%
81.5%
18.5%
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
10
(13 meetings)
3
10
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Last 10: Getzlaf 2-8 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
3
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (708)
60.3% (1,517)
-13.1%
Power Play
56.9% (72)
61.5% (387)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (69)
55.0% (220)
-10.1%
On even strength, O'Reilly has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Getzlaf is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (610).
Getzlaf shoots right. O'Reilly is 59.7% vs right-shot opponents (713).
Home / Away
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Home
51.2% (404)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
44.7% (445)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
P1
45.6%
56.8%
P2
44.8%
64.6%
P3
52.8%
58.5%
OT
61.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
47.8%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 12:53 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 11:07 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:35 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |