Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 55.0% vs Poehling 47.0% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 65.9%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 95.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 88.2%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Cizikas
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cizikas
Poehling
Last 6: Cizikas 5-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cizikas
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
0
Cizikas
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (767)
45.1% (437)
+12.7%
Power Play
66.7% (18)
56.4% (39)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (176)
61.5% (13)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Cizikas is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Cizikas shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Poehling
Home
56.6% (484)
46.6% (232)
Away
54.5% (477)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Cizikas
Poehling
P1
57.2%
43.9%
P2
54.7%
49.1%
P3
54.8%
46.4%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2022 | 3 | 05:41 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:47 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 16:48 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |