Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.1%). Look for Veleno on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Veleno 49.2% vs Poehling 49.2% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Veleno leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Veleno 58.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 67.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 57.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Veleno
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Veleno
Poehling
Last 10: Veleno 9-1 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
4
0
Veleno
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Veleno
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Veleno
6
0
Veleno
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Veleno
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (531)
50.4% (752)
-2.0%
Power Play
56.3% (64)
37.0% (27)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (27)
45.3% (159)
-0.9%
On power play, Veleno has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Veleno is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (403).
Veleno shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Veleno
Poehling
Home
48.8% (289)
51.2% (467)
Away
49.2% (333)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Veleno
Poehling
P1
46.1%
54.6%
P2
50.9%
46.7%
P3
49.7%
46.7%
OT
66.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Veleno
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:11 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 08:45 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | OT | 02:08 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 04:01 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 1 | 15:18 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |