Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Poehling 47.0% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 73.9%
Defensive zone
Poehling 71.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 79.8%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 73.2%
26.8%
73.2%
Toews
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Toews
Poehling
Last 8: Toews 2-6 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
5
Toews
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
45.1% (437)
+12.9%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
56.4% (39)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
61.5% (13)
-9.8%
On power play, Toews has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Poehling is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Toews
Poehling
Home
59.3% (637)
46.6% (232)
Away
58.7% (699)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Toews
Poehling
P1
61.5%
43.9%
P2
55.2%
49.1%
P3
60.0%
46.4%
OT
70.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.9%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:18 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:34 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:19 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |