Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.4%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Barzal wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barzal 46.9% vs Poehling 47.0% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barzal 67.0%
Defensive zone
Barzal 62.0%
Neutral zone
Barzal 59.9%
Result
Mathew Barzal favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Barzal
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Barzal
Poehling
Last 6: Barzal 1-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Barzal
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
2
Barzal
Poehling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Barzal
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barzal
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (483)
45.1% (437)
+1.5%
Power Play
40.9% (22)
56.4% (39)
-15.5%
On power play, Poehling has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Barzal is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Barzal shoots right. Poehling is 44.1% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Barzal
Poehling
Home
49.6% (242)
46.6% (232)
Away
43.3% (263)
46.3% (257)
By Period
Barzal
Poehling
P1
42.4%
43.9%
P2
49.5%
49.1%
P3
47.7%
46.4%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.2%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
46.3%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:32 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:19 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |