Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Foligno wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Poehling 49.2% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 71.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 83.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 53.1%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Foligno
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Foligno
Poehling
Last 6: Foligno 2-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Poehling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
4
Foligno
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
50.4% (752)
+3.0%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
37.0% (27)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
45.3% (159)
-4.7%
On power play, Foligno has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Foligno shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
Foligno
Poehling
Home
57.3% (225)
51.2% (467)
Away
47.1% (210)
47.1% (471)
By Period
Foligno
Poehling
P1
53.0%
54.6%
P2
51.8%
46.7%
P3
52.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |