Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Poehling on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Poehling wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Bennett 48.3% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 87.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 75.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 50.6%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Poehling
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Poehling
Bennett
Last 10: Poehling 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Poehling
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
0
Poehling
Bennett
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
4
1
Poehling
Bennett
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (626)
46.4% (780)
+3.4%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
57.3% (150)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (207)
47.8% (46)
-9.6%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Poehling shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Poehling
Bennett
Home
47.3% (404)
50.3% (519)
Away
46.9% (441)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Poehling
Bennett
P1
53.5%
47.5%
P2
39.4%
46.6%
P3
49.1%
49.8%
OT
35.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |