Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.1% vs 47.2%). Look for Bennett on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 48.1% vs Bennett 47.2% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Poehling leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Bennett 75.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 76.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 52.5%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Poehling
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
20
(43 meetings)
23
20
Poehling
Bennett
Last 10: Poehling 6-4 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
3
11
Poehling
Bennett
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
7
2
Poehling
Bennett
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
13
7
Poehling
Bennett
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (2,726)
46.8% (5,683)
+2.6%
Power Play
51.6% (93)
53.7% (555)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (623)
41.8% (256)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Poehling shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Poehling
Bennett
Home
49.3% (1,688)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
46.9% (1,754)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Poehling
Bennett
P1
50.9%
48.0%
P2
47.0%
46.5%
P3
46.9%
46.9%
OT
37.9%
52.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 11:43 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:26 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 10:14 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 01:50 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:26 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 10:30 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:09 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:02 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 05:20 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 07:13 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 06:57 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 01:16 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |