Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 50.8% vs Kozak 47.8% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Poehling 60.4%
Defensive zone
Poehling 83.5%
Neutral zone
Poehling 70.5%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Poehling
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Poehling
Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
1
0
Poehling
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (622)
46.0% (137)
+6.6%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
66.7% (3)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (103)
40.0% (5)
-0.2%
On power play, Kozak has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Poehling shoots left. Kozak is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kozak
Home
53.2% (393)
51.2% (84)
Away
48.3% (344)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Poehling
Kozak
P1
50.9%
57.1%
P2
56.2%
34.7%
P3
46.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 12:41 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:40 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |