Scouting Report
Tyson Kozak holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Poehling wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kozak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Poehling 47.4% vs Kozak 49.7% (-2.5%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 54.7%
Defensive zone
Poehling 50.9%
Neutral zone
Poehling 55.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Poehling
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Poehling
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (626)
49.3% (294)
+0.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
60.0% (5)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
38.2% (207)
50.0% (40)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Kozak has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Poehling shoots left. Kozak is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (239).
Home / Away
Poehling
Kozak
Home
47.3% (404)
45.5% (145)
Away
46.9% (441)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Poehling
Kozak
P1
53.5%
53.4%
P2
39.4%
50.0%
P3
49.1%
44.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%