Scouting Report
Aleksander Barkov holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Barkov on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barkov wins 59.1% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barkov 56.0% vs Strome 42.3% (+14.8%)
H2H factor
Barkov leads 16-3 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Barkov 96.2%
Defensive zone
Barkov 84.3%
Neutral zone
Barkov 90.9%
Result
Aleksander Barkov favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
Barkov
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
3
(19 meetings)
16
3
Barkov
Strome
Last 10: Barkov 8-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
0
Barkov
Strome
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barkov
6
1
Barkov
Strome
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barkov
5
2
Barkov
Strome
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barkov
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (704)
41.2% (1,040)
+14.3%
Power Play
62.3% (247)
43.0% (151)
+19.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (75)
51.4% (35)
-4.7%
On power play, Barkov has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Barkov is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (403).
Barkov shoots left. Strome is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Barkov
Strome
Home
56.4% (550)
40.1% (581)
Away
56.7% (476)
43.1% (645)
By Period
Barkov
Strome
P1
56.5%
41.4%
P2
55.5%
42.9%
P3
57.9%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
58.7%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barkov
44.0%▼
47.5%
56.5%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
41.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:19 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 2 | 14:23 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:36 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:30 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:55 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 08:06 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 03:25 | Neutral | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:50 | Defensive | Aleksander Barkov |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 01:10 | Offensive | Aleksander Barkov |